ANALYSIS: THE MUELLER REPORT EXPOSED WEAKNESSES IN U.S.
DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS THAT H.R.1 WOULD ADDRESS
“There were multiple, systematic efforts to interfere in our election . . . That
allegation deserves the attention of every American.”
This was Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s conclusion after conducting a two-year
investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 U.S. election. His report
highlighted serious gaps in U.S. law that have left our elections vulnerable to
foreign interference, which Russia and other foreign powers will almost certainly
seek to exploit again in 2020. It also documented numerous potential violations of
campaign finance and ethics rules and, in Volume II, a sustained effort by the
president to interfere in the special counsel’s investigation.
Despite these grave conclusions, there is good news. Many of the worst problems
documented in the Mueller Report would be addressed by H.R. 1, the For the
People Act of 2019, a sweeping democracy reform package passed by the House of
Representatives earlier this year. The transformative changes in H.R. 1 would make
our electoral system more fair, democratic, and responsive to the priorities of all
Americans. They include automatic voter registration, which could add 50 million
new voters to the rolls; small donor public financing, which would reshape the way
campaigns are funded and amplify the voices of ordinary Americans; and
redistricting reform to curtail antidemocratic partisan gerrymandering. The package
also encompasses a number of provisions that would directly respond to the
vulnerabilities highlighted in the Mueller Report, and blunt future efforts by Russia
and others to exploit them.
Here is an overview of the vulnerabilities documented by the special counsel that
H.R.1 would address:
Disinformation and Propaganda: Among the special counsel's most well-known
findings was his conclusion that Russia engaged in a concerted disinformation and
propaganda campaign over the Internet to stoke discord among the U.S. electorate,
suppress voter turnout, and, eventually, promote the candidacy of Donald Trump.
Russia’s tactics undermined the basic premise that our campaigns involve real
debates among Americans about issues and candidates. Its strategy was successful
in part because of gaps in U.S. campaign finance law that leave most paid political
ads over the Internet unregulated, as well as the failure of our evenly-divided and
gridlocked national campaign finance regulator, the Federal Election Commission
(FEC), to enforce existing rules. All signs point to Russia and other hostile state
actors like Iran employing these tactics again ahead of the 2020 vote. To blunt this
threat, H.R. 1 would:
Close major campaign finance loopholes related to disclosure and the
prohibition on campaign spending by foreign nationals.
Require major online platforms to create publicly accessible online
databases of requests to purchase Internet political ads.
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Overhaul the FEC to curtail gridlock and streamline enforcement of
campaign finance rules.
Weak Election Security and Infrastructure: The Mueller Report also found that
Russian intelligence agents targeted vulnerable election infrastructure and private
companies that provide states with election technology, allowing them to hack into
a voter registration database, the network of at least one Florida county, and a
private elections vendor. These attacks were almost certainly a dry run for future
operations that could disrupt U.S. elections and call into question their results. To
address this grave danger, H.R. 1 would:
Replace paperless voting systems with machines that provide a paper
record of each vote.
Provide funding to cash-strapped election jurisdictions to replace
antiquated voting systems.
Fund risk-limiting audits to ensure the accuracy of electronic vote
tallying.
Impose federal regulatory safeguards on private election systems and
software vendors.
Expand early voting to decrease the pressure on Election Day poll
workers and allow early detection of potential threats.
Voter Suppression: The special counsel found evidence of Russian-controlled
social media accounts specifically targeting African-Americans and other minority
communities. These accounts spread messages to discourage target communities
from voting, including messages that contained false information about when,
where, and how to vote. Such tactics are a pernicious form of voter suppression,
one that is likely to play an even bigger role in future election interference
operations. To address this problem, H.R. 1 would:
Boost transparency and other safeguards for online political ads.
Ban the use of deceptive practices for voter suppression.
Require election officials to take concrete steps to counteract the
dissemination of misleading information about the voting process.
Direct Foreign Assistance to Campaigns: The Mueller Report also documented
Russian attempts to directly assist the Trump campaign in violation of U.S. law.
Campaign officials were at times receptive to these overtures (such as in the
infamous Trump Tower meeting between senior campaign staff and Russian
nationals claiming to have “incriminating” information about Hillary Clinton). The
report also discussed at length the activities of campaign officials who were
unregistered agents of foreign governments. In both cases, weak enforcement of
existing rules meant there was no incentive to comply with critical laws designed to
curb foreign influence over America’s political system. To remedy this problem,
H.R. 1 would:
Overhaul the FEC to boost enforcement of campaign finance rules,
including the prohibition on foreign assistance to campaigns.
Shore up enforcement of the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA).
Conflicts of Interest: The Mueller Report also described various Russia-connected
business dealings of the president and other campaign officials, including
negotiations over the possible construction of a new Trump Tower in Moscow.
Now that President Trump is in office (and has refused to divest from his
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businesses), such ties create an ongoing risk of government policyincluding
sensitive relations with foreign governmentsbeing driven by personal financial
considerations rather than the public interest. Even the appearance that this is
happening can further erode public trust in government institutions. To address
risks posed by the business dealings described in the Mueller Report, H.R. 1 would,
among other things:
Require the president and vice president to divest from all financial
interests that pose conflicts of interest.
Require the president, vice president, and candidates for those offices
to disclose their tax returns.
Impose basic ethics standards for presidential transitions.
Strengthen the agency that oversees ethics regulation in the Executive
Branch, the Office of Government Ethics (OGE).
Obstruction of Justice: Finally, Volume II of the Mueller Report documented the
president’s efforts to stop or otherwise interfere with the special counsel’s
investigation, including through pressure placed on then-Attorney General Jeff
Sessions to un-recuse himself from overseeing the investigation. These findings
raise fundamental questions about the role of senior government officials when
confronted with a president determined to thwart an ongoing investigation into his
own conduct. To begin to address this problem, H.R. 1 would:
Require presidential appointees to refrain from any involvement in
specific matters concerning the president or their spouse.
Give OGE final authority over waivers of ethics rules, including rules
that require recusal.
***
Russia’s interference in the 2016 election and the other abuses documented in the
Mueller Report have exposed serious vulnerabilities in America’s democratic
institutions. H.R. 1 would address many of these problems, as documented further
below. Enacting this legislation would help blunt future attempts by Russia and
others to undermine American sovereignty and the integrity of our government.
In-Depth Analysis
I. Disinformation and Propaganda
What Mueller Found: The Mueller Report documented Russia’s now well-known
campaign to meddle in our elections through disinformation and propaganda over
the Internet. Russia’s efforts focused on stoking and amplifying social discord in
the U.S. electorate, lowering turnout (especially in minority communities), and,
once Donald Trump became the Republican nominee, helping him defeat Hillary
Clinton. Paid posts on major social media platforms like Facebook and Twitter
were a primary tool for Russian operatives seeking to spread their messages, often
making use of these platforms’ sophisticated targeting capabilities to reach key
audiences in swing states while remaining invisible to the wider public. The
Mueller Report documented how operatives working for the Internet Research
Agency (IRA), a Russian company tied to the Kremlin, purchased over 3,500
advertisements on Facebook alone, likely reaching tens of millions of users. Some
of these ads mentioned specific candidates with hashtags like #nohillary2016 and
#KIDS4TRUMP. Many others aimed to stir up tensions on divisive issues like
immigration, race relations, and gun control.
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Why It Matters: Russia’s tactics, which it has deployed in other countries as well,
undermine the basic premise that our election campaigns involve real debates
among Americans about issues and candidates. All signs point to Russia using
these tactics again in 2020, as will other hostile foreign powers like Iran, which
worked to spread disinformation during the 2018 midterms.
Current law does not provide adequate safeguards. While federal law prohibits
campaign spending by non-U.S. citizens or green card-holders, and requires
disclosure for some campaign ads, Internet campaign activity is largely exempt
from these requirements. And even those rules that do apply are rarely enforced by
the evenly divided and perpetually gridlocked FEC. FEC dysfunction has also
helped fuel the prevalence of “dark money” from political nonprofits that are not
required to disclose their donors. While not addressed in the Mueller Report, dark
money creates another vulnerability for Russia and other powers to exploit. In
2016, Russian agents allegedly funneled money to a dark money group connected
to the National Rifle Association, which spent over $30 million on pro-Trump
campaign ads. Overall, more than $1 billion in secret spending from dark money
groups has flooded into U.S. elections since 2010. Since the origins of this
spending are undisclosed, we cannot tell for certain how much of it may have come
from foreign sources.
What H.R. 1 Would Do: H.R. 1 would address the threat of disinformation and
propaganda by shoring up campaign finance rules. First, it would close gaps in U.S.
law that have essentially exempted digital advertisements on the Internet, including
social media, from the rules that apply to all other ads. Most notably, it includes the
bipartisan Honest Ads Act, which would expand existing campaign disclosure
requirements to cover paid Internet and digital communications. The Honest Ads
Act would also require large social media platforms like Facebook, Instagram, and
Twitter to keep a public record of requests to purchase political ads mentioning
candidates or prominent national issuesa critical tool for the media, law
enforcement, and members of the public looking to understand who is trying to
influence American voters. Other provisions of H.R. 1 would prohibit foreign
governments and those acting on their behalf from purchasing a broader array of
candidate-focused ads and issue ads.
H.R. 1 also includes the DISCLOSE Act, which would eliminate dark money by
requiring organizations that spend significant sums on campaigns in an election
cycle to disclose all of the donors who paid for that spending. It would also prohibit
foreign-owned or controlled companies from election spending, eliminating a
loophole that could permit even a state-controlled foreign entity like the IRA to
spend money directly on U.S. campaigns through a domestic subsidiary.
Finally, H.R. 1 would strengthen the FEC, which is charged with enforcing
campaign finance laws, by restructuring it to curb partisan gridlock and streamline
enforcement. H.R. 1 would reduce the number of commissioners from six to five,
including a tie-breaking independent commissioner, and reduce the hurdles to staff
investigations of alleged violations.
II. Weak Election Security and Infrastructure
What Mueller Found: The Mueller Report also highlights Russia’s repeated efforts
to target U.S. election infrastructure. The special counsel found that a Russian
intelligence agency, known as the GRU, “sought access to state and local computer
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networks by exploiting known software vulnerabilities on websites of state and
local governmental agencies.” Using these tactics, the GRU hacked into the Illinois
State Board of Elections network and accessed its voter registration database,
which contains registration information for millions of Illinois voters. Operatives
also sent “spearphishing” emails to election officials and persons working at private
voting technology companies in an effort to place malware on their systems. At
least one Florida county’s network was successfully breached. So was that of VR
Systems, a company that supplies voter registration technology in eight states.
Why It Matters: Attacks on election infrastructure pose a grave threat. Although
there is no indication that Russian operatives made changes to voter rolls or
changed votes, their exploratory attacks revealed vulnerabilities that could enable
adversaries to disrupt future elections as they are happening or attempt to
undermine public confidence in their results. As leading national security experts
have warned, Russia’s attacks in 2016 were almost certainly a dry run for more
advanced operations that will be carried out in 2020 and beyond. Shoring up the
security of our election infrastructure must therefore be a top priority. Today,
counties and towns in 11 statesincluding battleground states like Georgia and
Pennsylvaniacontinue to use antiquated, paperless voting machines, which
experts agree are dangerously insecure. If these machines are tampered with, there
is no independent paper record that can be used to check the software results and
recover from the tampering. And even where states have paper backups for every
vote, they frequently do not review them to ensure that electronic tallies are
accurate. While Congress appropriated $380 million in 2018 to help the states with
election security, that amount was not nearly enough to address all the
vulnerabilities spread out over America’s vast and de-centralized election
infrastructure, which includes over 8,000 distinct local election jurisdictions. For
example, local election officials in 31 states recently reported needing to replace
their voting equipment before the 2020 election, but nearly two-thirds said they did
not have adequate funds to do so, even after the distribution of $380 million from
Congress last year.
What H.R. 1 Would Do: H.R. 1 would address the threats to our election
infrastructure through a title called the Election Security Act (ESA). The ESA
would require states to replace paperless voting systems with machines that provide
a paper record of each vote. It would also provide states with funds to run risk-
limiting audits of their elections, which involve hand counting a statistically
meaningful sample of ballots to ensure that the electronic tally is correct. The ESA
would also impose new legal safeguards on private vendors of elections systems
and software, who have historically gone unregulated. And it would ensure
consistent federal funding for future election security improvements.
H.R. 1 would also establish a minimum two-week early voting period for federal
elections across the country. Early voting prevents would-be miscreants from
marring elections, both by enabling election officials to discover and fix problems
before Election Day and reducing the pressure on Election Day poll workers, since
fewer people actually go to the polls on that day. Last year, for instance, Texas
election officials were alerted to poorly designed voting machines changing votes
during the early voting period and were able to warn voters and instruct them on
how to use the machines to minimize errors. While the Texas incident does not
appear to have involved deliberate tampering, early voting would provide the same
benefits in the event of problems resulting from an attack.
III. Voter Suppression
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What Mueller Found: The Mueller Report explains how Russian operatives
specifically targeted African-American voters, including through Facebook groups
with names like “Black Matters,” “Blacktivist,” “Don’t Shoot Us,” and “Black
Fist.” An indictment filed by the special counsel and other research document how
such accounts, and accounts targeting other communities like American Muslims,
were used for voter suppression and demobilization. Messages posted from these
accounts called on the target communities to vote for third party candidates or to
boycott the election entirely. Some accounts also posted false information about
when, where, and how to vote or spread inflammatory messages about supposed
voter fraud. For example, one Twitter account falsely said that people who voted
for Bernie Sanders in the primary would not be able to vote for Hillary Clinton in
the general election. Another falsely urged voters to vote online instead of waiting
in line at the polls.
Why It Matters: Deceptive practices and misinformation can mar elections by
driving down turnout in communities of color and other targeted communities.
Russia started weaponizing these tactics in 2016, and leading experts expect that
the use of online disinformation to “discourage and confuse voters from
participating in elections” will play an even bigger role in future election
interference operations. What is more, the use of these disinformation and vote
suppression tactics is not limited to Russian operatives; they have long been
deployed by unscrupulous domestic political actors, albeit on a smaller scale. These
activities are currently governed by an uneven patchwork of state laws that do not
adequately protect voters and would not address many of the tactics used by Russia
in the 2016 election.
What H.R. 1 Would Do: H.R. 1 would address this problem in two ways. The
increased safeguards for online campaign ads described above would make it
difficult for foreign adversaries to use paid digital content for any electoral
communications, including misinformation campaigns. In addition, H.R. 1 includes
the Deceptive Practices and Voter Intimidation Prevention Act, which would
prohibit false or misleading statements and intimidation tactics aimed at depressing
voter turnout and participation. It would also require election officials to take active
steps to counteract such tactics, including by disseminating accurate information to
voters.
IV. Other Foreign Assistance to Campaigns
What Mueller Found: Despite the strict ban on donated foreign assistance to U.S.
election campaigns, the Mueller Report documented many attempts to directly
assist the Trump campaign that were directed or encouraged by the Russian
government. At times, Trump campaign officials appear to have solicitedor at
least been open to receivinghelp from abroad. For example, the report describes a
Trump Tower meeting between leading campaign staff, including Donald Trump
Jr., Jared Kushner, and Paul Manafort, and Russian nationals who claimed to have
information “incriminating to Hillary and her dealings with Russia.” Although the
special counsel recognized that soliciting such information might have been illegal,
he declined to prosecute any of the meeting’s participants, in part because he
concluded they were ignorant of the law. The Mueller Report also devotes
significant attention to the activities of campaign officialsManafort, Rick Gates,
and Michael Flynnwho worked as foreign agents (though not agents of Russia).
None of them were in compliance with FARA, which requires U.S. persons
advocating on behalf of a foreign government, corporation, or other principal to
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register with the attorney general and disclose their political and lobbying
activities.
Why It Matters: Laws curbing foreign campaign donations and requiring
transparency from foreign agents operating in the United States are essential to
blunting outside manipulation of the American political process. But these
safeguards mean little without robust enforcement, which has not happened. Thus,
Trump campaign officials appear to have had no incentive to familiarize
themselves with clear rules barring them from accepting “incriminating” research
on Hillary Clinton from Russian sources (rules that even the special counsel’s team
did not fully understand). Nor did Manafort, Flynn, and Gates apparently have
much incentive to comply with foreign agent transparency rules.
What H.R. 1 Would Do: H.R. 1 would shore up enforcement of both the ban on
foreign campaign donations and FARA. As noted, it would overhaul the FEC to
curtail partisan gridlock and allow professional staff to investigate potential
violations. Other provisions of H.R. 1 boost FARA enforcement by, among other
things, establishing a dedicated enforcement unit within the Department of Justice,
authorizing civil as well as criminal penalties for violators, and requiring all FARA
registration statements to be made available online.
V. Conflicts of Interest
What Mueller Found: The Mueller Report also documented various Russia-
connected business dealings of President Trump and others on his campaign.
During the election, candidate Trump denied that he had any business ties to
Russia, but the special counsel’s investigation established that this statement was
untrue. In fact, well into the 2016 campaign, Trump Organization lawyer Michael
Cohen was conducting negotiations over the construction of a new Trump Tower in
Moscow. “Given the size of the Trump Moscow project,” the report notes, Cohen
and Felix Sater (another Trump associate) “believed the project required approval
(whether express or implicit) from the Russian national government, including
from the Presidential Administration of Russia.” Apart from the president, the
report also describes a meeting his son-in-law and senior advisor, Jared Kushner,
had during the transition period with Russian banker Sergey Gorkov. When
questioned about the meeting, Kushner insisted that it was “diplomatic,” but
Gorkov stated they discussed business. Kushner failed to disclose this meeting on
his security clearance forms.
Why It Matters: Foreign business dealings by the president or other senior officials
create a risk of sensitive government decisions being driven by officials’ personal
financial interests rather than the public interest. To avoid even the appearance of
such self-dealing, every president going back five decades until President Trump
chose to voluntarily divest from personal business holdings and other potentially
conflicting assets, despite being exempt from conflict of interest rules. President
Trump's failure to do so raises the prospect of more deals like the one over Trump
Tower Moscow being used as leverage to influence U.S. policy. And while other
senior officials like Kushner are theoretically bound by conflict of interest and
other ethics rules, they have suffered few consequences for high-profile ethical
lapses.
What H.R. 1 Would Do: H.R. 1 would require the president and vice president to
divest from all financial interests that pose conflicts of interest. It would also
require the president, vice president, and candidates for those offices to disclose
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their personal and business income tax returns, which would, among other things,
show how much they are paying in foreign taxes. H.R. 1 also incorporates the
Transition Team Ethics Improvement Act, which would impose basic ethical
standards for presidential transitions, including requiring them to deal with
conflicts of interest on the part of transition team members. And H.R. 1 would
strengthen OGE so that it can better investigate ethical breaches and hold high-
ranking officials accountable.
VI. Obstruction of Justice
What Mueller Found: Finally, Volume II of the Mueller Report, dealing with
obstruction of justice, detailed numerous attempts by the president to stop or
otherwise interfere with the special counsel’s investigation. President Trump
repeatedly placed pressure on then-Attorney General Jeff Sessions to un-recuse
himself from overseeing the investigation, despite recommendations to the contrary
from DOJ ethics experts. For instance, when then-FBI Director James Comey
testified before Congress, the president told the attorney general, “This is terrible
Jeff. It’s all because you recused. . . . You left me on an island. I can’t do
anything.” The president also pressured White House staff to stop or otherwise
interfere with the investigation. He is reported to have said, “maybe I’ll get rid of”
then-White House Counsel Don McGahn after McGahn did not carry out his order
to fire the special counsel. And the president attempted to have Deputy National
Security Advisor K. T. McFarland create a witness statement denying that the
president had directed Michael Flynn’s transition-period discussions of U.S.
sanctions with Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak, a request that was
“sufficiently irregular” that McFarland “felt the need to document” it. McFarland
was subsequently offered the position of ambassador to Singapore, which a lawyer
in the White House Counsel’s Office opined could look like “a quid pro quo.”
Why It Matters: The conclusions in Volume II of the Mueller Report raise
fundamental questions about the role of senior government officials when faced
with a president determined to thwart an ongoing investigation. The conduct of
Attorney General William Barr, who has been accused of misrepresenting the
Special Counsel’s findings and seeking to undercut the his credibility, has only
deepened these concerns.
What H.R. 1 Would Do: H.R. 1 would take important steps in this area. First, it
would prevent government officials whom the president has appointedwho may
be most vulnerable to pressure from the presidentfrom overseeing investigations
or other proceedings involving the president or their spouse. That would have
buttressed Sessions’ recusal and also required Barr to recuse himself from matters
related to the Mueller investigation. H.R. 1 would also give OGE final authority
over all waivers of Executive Branch ethics rules that might require recusal, which
would prevent the White House from attempting an end-run around these
requirements. More safeguards are needed, but these provisions would provide at
least some protection from White House interference in high profile investigations
like the special counsel’s.
***
The House passed H.R. 1 in March of this year, and the Senate companion was
introduced that same month. However, no Senate vote has been scheduled. The
Senate should immediately take up and pass this historic package of reforms to
safeguard America's democratic institutions.
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The following Brennan Center experts are available for additional consultation:
Wendy R. Weiser, Vice President for Democracy
Daniel I. Weiner, Senior Counsel, Democracy Program
Spencer P. Boyer, Director, Washington Office
For media inquiries, contact: Alexandra Ringe; [email protected]; 646-925-
8744